Still Report #1167 – Trump’s Rising Polls

Good Labor Day Sunday, I’m still reporting on the polls. Why do I report on polls anyway. If they are all fake, why bother? Well, they aren’t all fake; it’s all about methodology. Methodology is the basis of all polling - how you ask the questions, but most importantly who you question. With that is mind, since polls aren’t measuring – and can’t measure – the Monster vote, all you can say is that polls sometimes measure relative changes in direction. Why can’t they measure Trump’s monster vote? Because methodology depends on voter’s past performance. They can’t poll for people who have not voted in the past 16 years. There are no stats. In addition, very few try to sort out the crossover vote, which always favors Trump this year. And that’s the monster vote. Having said that, you know it’s pretty bad when even polls which can’t measure this giant Trump reserve vote start saying Trump is pulling ahead even with this disadvantage. In yesterday’s USC Daybreak poll, Trump is now ahead of Clinton by 2.6%, 45% for Trump to 42.4% for Clinton. Notice that the gray 95% certainty area is now closing in fast as we are only 65 days out from election day. Yesterday, another big national poll showed Trump leaping ahead of Clinton in the Reuters/Ipsos poll. But the big news is that this is an 8-point swing in favor of Trump in just the last week. Now let’s look at the all-important swing state of Virginia. In August, various polls showed Clinton up by between 8 and 12 points. However, a poll done by Emerson college from Tuesday to Thursday of last week shows Clinton up by only one point, 44 to 43%. But Emerson, to its credit also goes searching for Trump’s Monster vote by looking at the vote of the independents. They are breaking for Trump by nearly a 2-1 margin in Virginia – 47% to 28. Last week, Emerson also looked at the other swing states. Clinton and Trump are tied in Ohio at 43%. Last month in Pennsylvania, Clinton’s lead was between 8 and 12%, but now it’s been cut to 3% - 46 to 43. Even in Michigan, Clinton now leads Trump by only 5% - 45 to 40. So at this point, this race is all about direction and momentum. Trump has it, while Clinton’s is going into reverse with every day of her further absence on the campaign trail. I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.

Comments

Eileen Scovitch: THE POLLS ARE DEAD WRONG.  TRUMP IS A LANDSLIDE AHEAD OF WANNWBE HILLARY. THE NEWS PEOPLE ARE LYING THROUGH THEIR ASS TRYING TO FUDGE NUMBERS TO MAKE IT LOOK DISCOURAGING TO REPUBLICIANS, BUT WERE NOT FOOLED. WE KNOW STRENGTH IN A MAN TO RULE AMERICA IN A BUSINESS MANOR. HOW DID THE PRESIDENT HANDLE THINGS BACK IN THE REVOLUTIONARY DAYS. PRETAINS TO THE SAME OLD SAME OLD. THE STRENGTH OF MEN AND NOT DAINTY FAIRIES......

The Loose Moose: Register as dem and vote TRUMP 2016

The Loose Moose: I also don't vote but in voting trump 2016..... everyone I know is voting trump...... PA

Will Stearns: I know of an old guy locally that did a poll with a bunch of kids. A poll taken by folks that can't vote. I was in Ct. A VERY blue state. Trump got 7 times the amount of hits than Hillary did. When the Ct Post newspaper got wind of it, they completely ignored it. All main street media. Newspapers and local TV stations. All owned by so few people. It is all coming apart on tptb. A truth revolution is upon us!!!

Raster Blat: Lets hope America comes to its senses and votes for Trump.
Hillary's socialist/communist party must not be allowed to buy and lie their way to victory.
Civil war might be the only answer if that happens. (Again)
Probably why the Dems want to get rid of the 2nd amendment.
Better dead than red.

MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
*** VOTE FOR TRUMP ***

Susan Barrett: Killory is DYING.

Johnb: Always vote absentee. The last three times i went to the polls to vote somebody else signed my name on the register. The clerks there are not allowed to verify your identity. They won't even look at your drivers license. Just imagine some demo-boob shows up, signs your name and casts your vote for their demo-boob candidate. Until California goes back to using voter ID it will remain a blue state.

Yahya Saeed: Donald Trump, YES!!!

tilini: still watching Still.

jay howard: Go Trump!

noxema2000: I ask GOD to keep and protect you sir ! great reporting

Carol Glover: I'm a registered Democrat, I'm not going to change my registration before November because I don't want to be purged again as I was in the NY state primary. But I will NEVER vote for clinton, she's a monster. In the NY primary, although I've been a dem since 2008 I made a campaign donation to the Sanders campaign, when I went to vote I was told 3 things: I was not registered at all, I was a registered independent and a registered republican. Therefore my vote didn't count, I did cast my vote by affidavit. I also don't answer the phone calls from poll takers because Im still registered as a dem and don't want to be used as a clinton supporter just because of my registration and answering the phone.

This is a crazy election.

Bryan Nelson: Globalist owned polls are rigged. Trump us way ahead. expect a landslide win.

Miss Information: I love how you find the needle in the haystack. NOWHERE else has anyone reported about Ailes that I've seen and I'm a news junkie! Keep it up! Don't be still, Still!

flyingrabbit: Trump will lose no matter what happens.
...""Put the reliably red states in Trump’s column and reliably blue in Clinton’s. She starts off with 242 electoral votes to 180 for Trump. That leaves 10 potential battleground states — Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Ohio, Iowa, Indiana, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico — with a total of 116 electoral votes.
Trump practically has to sweep those states to win. But Clinton could lose every one of those states except Florida and still win the presidency."..."

LondonSpade: So is it a good time for me to bet some money on Trump winning??? I can't wait :)

Mike Adams: Very interesting. Thanks Mr.Still

Steven Lissner: Says 58 comments, but none are showing.
Anyways....
DONALD TRUMP WILL BE THE 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES. GOD BLESS DONALD TRUMP, AMERICA, ISRAEL AND THE UK.

Mrs. Calabrese's Teaching Channel: Trump, Trump, TRUMP!!! Thanks for working today Bill! You're the best!

Vickie G.: All I can say is I can't wait for Nov 8th/9th, if it's too close to call, this election cycle has my head spinning,and by the way nobody's polled me😉just saying.

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